✶ Polls · General election, 29 November 2026
What the
pollsters say.
Every published national poll since the July 2023 election, as compiled on Wikipedia from each pollster's publication. The line is the median of the last 10 independent polls; parties' own internal polls are listed but left out of it. From 24 November 2026 until polls close, the law forbids publishing polls, and this page goes blank.
Median of the last 10 polls · to 1 November 2026
Current standing
- PP 31.7% 2023: 33.1%
- PSOE 26.5% 2023: 31.7%
- Vox 19.3% 2023: 12.4%
- Frente Amplio 6.4%
- SALF 2.1%
- Podemos 2.0%
Vote intention since the 2023 election
Three years
of polling.
- PP
- PSOE
- Podemos
- Vox
- Sumar
- Frente Amplio
- SALF
Seat projections · 176 for a majority
Does the right
reach 176?
Most pollsters also project seats. Each bar is one poll's range for PP and Vox together; the tick marks the PP alone. Projections from a national sample to 52 constituencies are rough: small shifts move several seats.
- SocioMétrica · El Español 1 November 203
- Sigma Dos · El Mundo 30 October 196–208
- Target Point · El Debate 30 October 199–207
- EM-Analytics · Electomanía 30 October 197
- NC Report · La Razón 29 October 206–210
- Hamalgama Métrica · Vozpópuli 28 October 207
- The Objective 27 October 181–189
- SocioMétrica · El Español 25 October 200
- NC Report · La Razón 24 October 206–210
- Winston · Artículo14 23 October 191
- EM-Analytics · Electomanía 23 October 194
- Ateneo del Dato · elDiario.es 22 October 183–211
- Sigma Dos · El Mundo 22 October 191–200
- EM-Analytics · Electomanía 17 October 196
- IMOP · El Confidencial 16 October 195
Vertical line: 176 seats. Blue tick: the PP alone (midpoint of its range).
The latest polls
Poll by
poll.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | PP | PSOE | Vox | FA | Sumar | Podemos | SALF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SocioMétrica / El Español | 1 Sep–1 Nov 2026 | 4,893 | 32.7 | 26.6 | 19.1 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 2.5 | |
| Sigma Dos / El Mundo | 29–30 Oct 2026 | 2,505 | 31.1 | 24.6 | 19.3 | 7.5 | 1.9 | ||
| Target Point / El Debate | 28–30 Oct 2026 | 1,024 | 31.8 | 25.5 | 19.9 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 2.6 | |
| EM-Analytics / Electomanía | 28–30 Oct 2026 | 1,527 | 31.5 | 25.8 | 19.2 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 1.6 | |
| NC Report / La Razón | 26–29 Oct 2026 | 1,000 | 33.0 | 25.6 | 19.3 | 6.9 | 2.4 | ||
| Sondaxe / La Voz de Galicia | 26–28 Oct 2026 | 1,200 | 29.2 | 26.9 | 19.2 | 7.2 | 2.0 | 2.4 | |
| Hamalgama Métrica / Vozpópuli | 22–28 Oct 2026 | 1,000 | 32.4 | 26.4 | 19.9 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 | |
| The Objective | 27 Oct 2026 | 1,500 | 28.1 | 29.6 | 20.2 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | |
| PSOE party poll | 25 Oct 2026 | — | 29.0 | 30.0 | 20.0 | ||||
| More in Common | 21–25 Oct 2026 | 2,210 | 28.3 | 27.6 | 20.8 | 7.8 | 2.6 | 2.4 | |
| SocioMétrica / El Español | 1 Sep–25 Oct 2026 | 3,223 | 32.4 | 27.0 | 18.6 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 2.4 | |
| NC Report / La Razón | 22–24 Oct 2026 | 1,000 | 33.1 | 25.8 | 19.0 | 6.6 | 2.6 | ||
| Winston / Artículo14 | 21–23 Oct 2026 | 1,200 | 29.4 | 27.1 | 19.2 | 5.6 | |||
| EM-Analytics / Electomanía | 17–23 Oct 2026 | 4,309 | 30.9 | 26.7 | 19.0 | 5.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | |
| Ateneo del Dato / elDiario.es | 20–22 Oct 2026 | 2,000 | 31.1 | 27.6 | 19.8 | 6.8 | 2.7 | ||
| Sigma Dos / El Mundo | 8–22 Oct 2026 | 3,122 | 30.6 | 26.1 | 19.9 | 7.4 | 2.8 | ||
| EM-Analytics / Electomanía | 15–17 Oct 2026 | 3,141 | 31.8 | 27.1 | 18.9 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 1.7 | |
| IMOP / El Confidencial | 13–16 Oct 2026 | 1,000 | 28.5 | 27.1 | 20.0 | 8.9 | 1.9 | 1.2 | |
| Sigma Dos / El Mundo | 1–14 Oct 2026 | 3,007 | 31.5 | 25.3 | 19.5 | 7.2 | 2.8 | ||
| SocioMétrica / El Español | 10–11 Oct 2026 | 1,000 | 32.6 | 26.2 | 18.8 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 2.1 | |
| Target Point / El Debate | 6–9 Oct 2026 | 1,002 | 32.0 | 25.9 | 18.7 | 6.9 | 3.4 | 1.3 | |
| EM-Analytics / Electomanía | 5–9 Oct 2026 | 4,125 | 31.5 | 26.9 | 19.1 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 1.7 | |
| 40dB / Prisa | 7–8 Oct 2026 | 800 | 31.9 | 28.1 | 18.9 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | |
| GESOP / Prensa Ibérica | 6–8 Oct 2026 | 1,000 | 28.7 | 26.1 | 18.9 | 8.0 | 2.6 | 2.0 | |
| GAD3 / Vocento | 6–8 Oct 2026 | 1,077 | 31.4 | 26.4 | 18.2 | 7.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 | |
| Hamalgama Métrica / Vozpópuli | 5–8 Oct 2026 | 1,000 | 33.4 | 25.3 | 19.6 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 1.8 | |
| InvyMark / laSexta | 5–8 Oct 2026 | — | 32.8 | 28.0 | 18.8 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 1.8 | |
| Sigma Dos / El Mundo | 1–8 Oct 2026 | 2,017 | 31.9 | 25.3 | 19.1 | 7.6 | 3.1 | ||
| IMOP / El Confidencial | 5–7 Oct 2026 | 900 | 30.4 | 26.5 | 19.0 | 7.6 | 2.3 | 1.9 | |
| DYM / Henneo | 5–7 Oct 2026 | 1,011 | 34.0 | 28.2 | 18.2 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0.5 |
Vote shares in %. FA: Frente Amplio (where a poll gives a joint FA–FV figure, it is shown under FA). Blank: not measured.
Why no betting odds
Polls, not
prediction markets.
Our US pages show prediction-market prices. Not here: in May 2026 Spain's gambling regulator (DGOJ) opened sanction proceedings against Polymarket and Kalshi and ordered their websites blocked, treating prediction markets as gambling that needs a Spanish licence (Ley 13/2011). We could not confirm a final ruling.
Polls are published under rules of their own: every published poll must say who made it, who paid for it, its sample, margin of error and fieldwork dates (LOREG art. 69.1).